Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 297.346931 337.308982 382.007950 435.964418 499.665793 572.889025 664.018059
2025-01-26 246.585813 300.912293 367.524434 456.296177 573.156301 724.118036 937.862210
2025-02-02 222.120138 284.756665 366.554730 483.483625 650.202973 885.587282 1254.864904
2025-02-09 196.824236 261.725923 350.587020 484.643337 688.194925 997.060453 1525.235232
2025-02-16 173.877060 237.947782 329.021385 472.521156 702.001052 1072.036427 1754.032283
2025-02-23 156.405743 219.392888 311.883578 463.302963 716.954315 1149.352121 2004.378207
2025-03-02 146.940036 211.233788 308.761564 474.749789 766.445781 1293.666986 2418.597096
2025-03-09 136.334771 200.053160 299.391161 474.160508 794.314201 1403.710752 2796.982991
2025-03-16 125.339689 187.102163 285.632678 463.937868 802.473511 1476.772065 3117.079396
2025-03-23 117.875174 179.035119 278.911351 464.956603 831.578049 1597.677669 3590.600402
2025-03-30 109.399840 168.540160 266.996067 454.863803 836.860705 1668.501540 3962.711765
2025-04-06 103.257972 161.401101 260.126368 453.256751 859.037236 1781.757850 4494.636059
2025-04-13 94.352079 149.077383 243.377415 431.336607 836.205364 1788.222937 4730.884765
2025-04-20 92.325337 148.483078 247.635129 451.533764 909.580057 2050.332089 5900.587359
2025-04-27 91.245064 149.415862 254.712574 478.363429 1003.466837 2394.399352 7570.370880
2025-05-04 87.027588 144.340613 249.939903 479.508143 1036.127016 2579.588231 8768.689175
2025-05-11 81.674916 136.788284 239.722081 467.544096 1033.949064 2662.391824 9599.380625
2025-05-18 77.109565 130.386015 231.231553 458.445524 1037.716744 2765.461051 10602.373548
2025-05-25 75.059697 128.565156 231.691842 469.743726 1097.963023 3070.186867 12858.198713
2025-06-01 71.966143 124.527003 227.296112 469.162117 1125.505023 3274.563959 14783.559320
2025-06-08 68.207676 118.958879 219.303230 459.072208 1124.224193 3376.723854 16216.742101
2025-06-15 65.738092 115.758542 216.014580 460.077746 1155.883916 3613.940445 18798.166452
2025-06-22 62.485625 110.809937 208.642678 450.115389 1152.715983 3715.421936 20564.196413